Softening the blow

Risk management is about running faster – not simply dodging potholes. Kevin Kevany reviews the latest thinking in business risk management.

Most of us โ€˜do risk managementโ€™ intuitively, subconsciously, or in a way that has everything to do with our own survival. Itโ€™s what you do. And we certainly donโ€™t relate it back (mostly) to our achieving success or even boosting the organisation we work for.
We largely think of โ€˜riskโ€™ as only having a negative outcome. Wrong, say the experts!
You see, they reckon risk is โ€œthe chance of something happening that will have an impact on objectivesโ€ โ€“ which is a good deal more complex than looking right, then left, then right again on your way to crossing the street.
When the concept of โ€˜risk managementโ€™ first became popularised in the international corporate world just over a decade ago, we faced the new millennium and the notorious Y2K scam. It was largely viewed by sceptics as the redoubt of accountants looking to be more of a nuisance, or gouging more fees; another way for insurance sales staff to put the โ€˜frightenersโ€™ on us; or a home for problematic and aging middle-managers, lacking in skills, but anal about administrative rules and โ€˜regsโ€™.
Today risk management qualifies as a management science, with New Zealand joining Australia in obtaining an ISO 31000 ranking, which presages the definition being taken a whole lot further. So, in the future, risk will be defined as โ€œthe effect of uncertainty on objectivesโ€ โ€“ the objectives of the individual or entity concerned.
The change in definition shifts the emphasis from โ€˜the eventโ€™ (something happens) to โ€˜the effectโ€™ โ€“ which is the effect of the event on objectives. The โ€˜riskโ€™ isnโ€™t the chance of having a fire (for example), but the chance that value will be destroyed and/or income-flow disrupted (assuming preserving value and income flow was part of the objective), according to the New Zealand Society for Risk Management (NZSRM).
Because risk is directly linked to objectives, it is obvious that risk is not inherently โ€˜badโ€™. Many objectives can only be achieved by someone being willing to accept at least some risk. If risk can be managed effectively, opportunities can be exploited.
Steve Vaughan, executive director and a founder of the NZSRM, is anything but the clichรฉd risk manager from the early days. For a start he has a doctorate in chemical engineering and avoided sales and accounting. โ€œWe are a cross-disciplinary body which has the goal of improving risk management in New Zealand. Put another way, we do not have an interest in taking one or other side on risk management issues, but rather we seek to make sure risk management is done well.
โ€œThe most common misconception about risk management is that its purpose is to avoid risk. In fact its purpose is to make success more likely. As one commentator put it, โ€˜effective risk management allows you to run fasterโ€™.โ€
Vaughan points out that if the resulting level of risk is either too high or too low for the entity at risk, then the risk can be treated so as to adjust the size of the consequences and/or the likelihood of experiencing those consequences.
โ€œBy managing risks โ€“ which is to say constantly understanding and then, if appropriate, treating the risks โ€“ an individual, organisation or society even, is more likely to achieve their objectives.
โ€œMany objectives can only be achieved by being willing to accept at least some risk. If risk can be managed effectively, opportunities can be exploited.โ€
Exploit opportunities
Vaughan is at pains to point out that risk management is more than insurance. Over the years too, the insurance industry has come to the risk management party by emphasising attention to detail, consistency and diligence in all processes โ€“ ensuring offsite backup of data, for instance, rather than using a โ€˜loss of dataโ€™ payout to fund a huge party, and then close the business.
Chris Peace, MSc risk management and former deputy chair of the NZSRM, is a lead consultant at Risk Management Limited and a senior associate lecturer in risk at Massy University in Wellington. โ€œThere is a saying that the financial consequences of perhaps ten percent of risks can be managed by insurance. Often the biggest risks are not insurable. And some risks can be insured, but the premiums are very high.โ€
So where does insurance fit in to risk management?
โ€œTo start with, you need to be clear that all insurance can do is help to put you back in the position you were in before the loss,โ€ says Peace. โ€œThis tells us that insurance is only a help; you still need to do some work yourself to avoid a loss or get back to where you were.
โ€œAlso, you should try to behave as if you had no insurance. Insurance is the โ€˜financial ambulance at the bottom of the cliffโ€™. It is there just in case your fences at the top of the cliff donโ€™t work. If risk management is about managing events or circumstances that could impact on objectives; insurance is about softening the financial impacts that loss-causing events could have on objectives.โ€
Enter insurance industry doyen, Roger Bell, CEO of Vero. โ€œMany small businesses who suffer a significant loss never return back to business โ€“ even if all their assets are insured. The reality is that risk transfer (insurance) does not reduce the probability of an event happening and it may not cover all aspects of the loss.โ€
Bell is also concerned about the โ€˜hidden costsโ€™ โ€“ missed opportunities, lost customers, damaged reputation, staff turnover and costly delays โ€“ areas that have a downstream impact on the bottom-line.ย 
โ€œOur key role is to ensure the business maintains its cashflow. Studies prove this is key to ensuring businesses survive. Itโ€™s not just about replacing assets.โ€
So there is some consensus there and the good news for SMEs is that by taking pre-emptive steps to identify risks and then reduce loss, there are many affordable and practical steps that can be taken to ensure the event never happens in the first place โ€“ and to minimise the visible and hidden costs after a crisis.ย 
Transfer vs mitigation
โ€œThis move from risk transfer to risk mitigation is a critical one which should start long before a company considers insurance,โ€ says Bell. โ€œStart with assessing key risks within a company, and find ways to reduce them. Only where this is not possible, either because itโ€™s too expensive or not feasible, should the risk be passed on to others.โ€
Finally, if a claim has occurred and the process to restore assets is underway, how a business deals with the wider impacts of this event can make all the difference in its ability to survive.ย 
โ€œThe greatest tool for getting a business back on its feet will be a well-actioned continuity plan which sets out how a business will keep the most critical activities going. This could cover issues such as temporary relocation and web or telephony solutions. These solutions protect a businessโ€™s ability to continue to meet important obligations to stakeholders, such as staff, customers and suppliers,โ€ Bell adds. His own companyโ€™s Business Continuity Plan prepares them for disruption through criminal acts, accidents or natural disaster.

โ€œItโ€™s all about ensuring our people are not put at risk, our brand and reputation are protected and everyone knows what to do in order to maintain critical business functions.โ€
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Who better to understand what is happening in New Zealandโ€™s insurance industry and the change that is/has taken effect than major broker Marsh Limited. Grant Milne is executive director of Marshโ€™s SME/โ€˜Middleโ€™ Market operation. The company itself is a good example of an organisation adapting to changing markets. As cashflows have tightened across the SME board, Marsh has adapted products and its own marketing strategy to ensure vigorous growth in straightened circumstances โ€“ using business and other associations to provide critical mass, and then providing targeted products at competitive prices.
โ€œItโ€™s at times like these, when everyone is stretched to the limit, after staff have been cut and the cleaners let go, when someone leaves a heater on overnight and there is no one around to double-check and switch it off โ€“ and the โ€˜inconceivableโ€™ occurs. Thatโ€™s life,โ€ says Milne.
โ€œSo we are going to insurers and telling them that our clients cannot afford to pay the increases they want, but we need to ensure they continue to be adequately covered. In response, insurers are not so much innovating as twisting existing products; pulling together the essential components and pooling liability cover, for example.
โ€œNow customers can take a roll-up of five or six policies and instead of individual limits on each, we can provide them with a shared limit across the whole package. This is affordable; the insurers have lessened liability; and we have met our obligations to our customers.โ€
Milne cites other examples where clients are reducing personal cover by having it kick-in at 90 days rather than 30 to 60 days, which had been the preferred norm previously. A very strong message of cutting your cloth to suit, but not cutting and running.
โ€˜Locum coverโ€™
Across the world, SMEs are tardy when it comes to insurance cover (20 percent) and New Zealand has lagged by a further two percent on that.
New products have been introduced โ€“ like โ€˜locum coverโ€™, where an SME owner/manager can nominate a specific amount of cover per month to cover the cost of hiring a particular person to cover the key person off ill. Companies, instead of opting for say a $5 million โ€˜loss of profit coverโ€™, are calculating that in the event of a fire, landslide etc knocking out their enterprise, they will need only $1 million to set-up down the road โ€“ and theyโ€™ll make-up the lost profits later.
That these strategies are working for Marsh can be seen in the fact they are advertising for 13 additional staff as we go to press.
Given that most SMEs are still in the process of surviving the downturn or just starting to feel the slack in the reins tightening, what have we learnt and what has changed? Who better to ask than Joe Nel, GM of Baycorp New Zealand? โ€œDebt collection rates are, and will remain, under pressure as a consequence of lower disposable income and limited refinance opportunities. It is going to get worse before it gets better.
โ€œIn an overall context, while there are some signs of the economy improving, unemployment has continued to increase and businesses will continue to fail. The emergence from the recession and a shortage of credit to fund growth often has an even more severe impact on the viability of SMEs than the initial hit. Add to that a reduction in income, and debt referred to Baycorp, for recovery, has increased and become increasingly difficult to collect,โ€ says Nel.
โ€œIn the SME market the response has been varied, but overall we have noticed that many organisations are undercapitalised, have weak debt management practices and undue exposure to a few debtors. In the event of delays or debtors not making payment, cashflows are impacted and the underlying business is at risk.
โ€œSuch businesses are often characterised by not having a clear credit policy in terms of approving credit or managing their debtors. A noticeable trend is a significant increase in commercial (B2B) debt referred for collection from SMEs to Baycorp.โ€
What can be done to improve that situation in SMEs?
โ€œBad debt management starts at the decision to provide credit; all businesses should be addressing their credit policy. An organisationโ€™s credit policy needs continual review to reflect the economy, the business and the industry. The organisation also needs to hold true to its policy,โ€ says Nel.
โ€œMany businesses may be hesitant to chase debts for fear of losing business. By having a clear and unswerving debt management policy, staff know how to respond and customers receive a consistent message.โ€
Nel warns SMEs wrestling with unpaid bills, particularly to a customer representing a high portion of company debt: โ€œwhen in doubt, send it outโ€.
โ€œItโ€™s a clear case of the-sooner-the-better. Donโ€™t be distracted from your primary role. We are professionals and take the task of recovering your debts most seriously. Just the mention of our name, very often has the immediate, desired effect.โ€
The company has responded to market changes by investing further in upgrading its technology which will not only enable Baycorp to increase debtor contact rates, but also exploit new channels such as SMS, voice messaging and email to contact debtors and negotiate payment.
In summary, innovation and adaptation are taking risk management to a new level in New Zealand even though it is a particularly trying time for the industry and its customers.
Kevin Kevany is an Auckland-based freelance writer. Email
[email protected]

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